Showing posts with label Geithner Plan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Geithner Plan. Show all posts

Monday, March 23, 2009

Geithner Releases Public/Private Investment Partnership, Dow Soars 497

Feels like springtime in Obamaland today! Markets worldwide responded favorably to the Tim Geithner's Public/Private Investment Partnership to restore solvency in America's too-big-to-fail banks. But will his plan, in its author's words, get "our financial system back to the business of providing credit to working families and viable businesses, and help prevent future crises?" Here's a running list of responses PRO, CON and NEUTRAL
  • John Authers asks an underlieing question about bank solvency (3/23)
  • Bill Gross buys in (3/23 CNBC video)
  • Paul Krugman all but despairs over the Geithner plan (3/23)
  • Clive Crook asks Krugman to think twice (3/23)
  • Tim Geithner argues that his plan is "part of an overall strategy to resolve the crisis as quickly and effectively as possible at least cost to the taxpayer. " (3/23)
  • Yves Smith, riffing off a WSJ editorial, talks about Fed rescue plan exit strategies (3/23)
  • Mike Whitney protests the Geithner plan's 5%/95% public/private investor ratio (3/23)
  • Felix Salmon warns that the plan is yet another "thing-that-has-to-go right in order . . . to work." (3/23)
  • Wall Street Journal says the plan "isn't the worst idea the federal government has ever had" (3/24)
  • "NYT "Opinionator" quotes from five mainstream media takes on the plan (3/24)
  • NYT "Room For Debate" compares responses to the Geithner plan of Krugman, Simon Johnson, Brad DeLong, Mark Thoma (3/24)
  • Mike Hudson takes a broad 3,000 year view to today's financial crisis in this 10 minute video (2/20). Here's his indispensable 2006 Harper's cover story, "The New Road to Serfdom: an Illustrated Guide to the Coming Real Estate Collapse"
  • New York Times voices doubts about the Geithner plan (3/24)
  • Joseph Stiglitz says the plan robs the taxpayer (3/24)
  • Martin Wolf says an adequate rescue plan is still far away (3/24)
  • Czech President of the European Union calls the plan "A way to hell". Also, Financial Times (3/25)
  • Rick Santelli of CNBC asks protests "two years" of government neglect of Nouriel Roubini's warnings about dangers of government exacerbation/funding of the credit bubble. (Go to 7:30 of this 10 minute February Durable Goods Report (Alt. link: http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1072009974&play=1. s ) (3/25)
  • London Economist sits on the fence (3/25)
  • Nouriel Roubini, "Dr. Doom," sees POSITIVES in the plan! (3/25)
  • Lee Brodie, of CNBC's Fast Money crew, says Geithner may have rescued America (3/25)
  • New York Post reporter Mark DeCambre says Geithner plan lets City and B of A "buy back laundered loans at lower rates" (3/25)
  • Yves Smith, finance blogger, approves Willem Buiter of F.T. taking "Fed and Treasury to Task" (3/26)
  • Steve Waldman, finance writer, critique New Yorker finance writer James Surowiecki (scroll down to 3/25)
  • Investor's Business Daily, citing Friedrich Hayek, warns against government (bureaucrat) control of the economy (3/27)
  • Nouriel Roubini in this 20 min. Bloomberg TV interview says the plan "won't stop bank nationalizations" (3/28)
  • Newsweek article says Treasury Secretary Geithner is "hitting his stride" (3/28)
  • Newsweek Cover Story says the White House is ignoring Paul Krugman's criticisms of the Geithner plan (3/28)
  • Jeffrey Sachs, Yale economist, asks "Will Geithner and Summers Succeed in Raiding the FDIC and Fed?"
  • Mike Whitney, finance writer, citing DeCambre, Sachs and Stiglitz says "the country will undergo the greatest period of bank consolidation in its 230 year history."
  • New York Times charges Congress with "bipartisan resistance to a thorough investigation of what caused the collapse" (3/29)
  • Richard Posner, U.C. Law and jurist, says the Geithner plan "will simplify the banks' balance sheets by removing assets of uncertain value and replacing them with cash (3/29)
  • Gary Becker, U.C economist and Nobelist, says "it is a strange program indeed where banks get subsidized in proportion to how many 'bad' assets they hold." (3/31)
  • Joseph Stiglitz, Nobelist, says government overleveraging replicates the bank overleveraging that caused the meltdown.(4/1)
  • Jonathan Weil , Bloomberg, "Obama Stakes His Fortunes on Failed Banksters" (4/9)
  • Mike Whitney examines the recent report on the Geithner bank rescue plan released by the Congressional Oversight Committee chaired by Elizabeth Warren.(4/11)
  • Jeff Cox at CNBC.com says "Flood of US Debt Threatens To 'Crowd Out' Other Borrowers" (4/13)
  • Financial Times Tarp investigator seeks evidence of book fiddling (4/13)
  • Nouriel Roubini coming on strong for the first time in several weeks, says "Testing the Stress Test Scenarios: Actual Macro Data Are Already Worse than the More Adverse Scenario for 2009 in the Stress Tests. So the Stress Tests Fail the Basic Criterion of Reality Check Even Before They Are Concluded" (4/13)
  • Elizabeth Warren, Harvard Professor and Chair of the Congressional Oversight Committee, is interviewed by John Daley at Comedy Central (4/15)
  • Simon Johnson, MIT economist and former chief economist for the International Monetary Fund, argues in the Atlantic Monthly that "the financial industry has effectively captured our government" and that "recovery will fail unless we break the financial oligarchy that is blocking essential reform" (5/09)
  • Geithner Testimony arguing for bank stability sparks Wall Street rally (4/21).
  • Wow. China, Backing Russia in Advance of G20 Summit, Calls for Replacement of Dollar as Global Reserve Currency

    Doubtless in anticipation of the April 2 G20 meeting in London, China today joined Russia in calling for the dollar to be replaced as the world's global reserve currency by a basket of currencies managed by the I.M.F. Here's the story in the Financial Times, the International Herald Tribune, Agence France Presse and the Prudent Investor. (Question: did Nouriel Roubini see this coming? He's been saying that even though "the American Empire" is on the decline, the dollar, despite rough spots, looks secure as the global reserve currency over the next twenty years.)

    The news from China strikes me as a game-changer. (My buddy Big Bill says it's just sabre-rattling.) But I don't see it mentioned on the New York Times or Wall Street Journal. Or CNBC. U.S. markets seem unperturbed. In fact, the Dow is up 300 points at the moment on the strength of a surprisingly strong housing report and positive response (including from global markets) to the Obama administration's release this morning of its $1 trillion private-public plan to save America's financial system without nationalizing the big banks. On CNBC, guest host lefty Democrat Howard Dean supported the Treasury plan in several clips and righty Republican Dick Armey opposed it one clip. While Dean is an able advocate, and although I've felt the Armey is a blowhard, I find myself feeling sympathy towards Armey's assertion that he has never thought any bank as "too big to fail". Interesting to compare his take on the Fed with those of lefty Fed critics like Matt Taibbi and Mike Whitney. Interesting similarities. Also worth reading is Mike Hudson's critique of the "house burning down" metaphor used by Ben Bernanke in his "60 Minutes" interview March 15 (at Mike's site, scroll down to "Articles").
    • Jim Willie, an avowed friend of gold and foe of the dollar, reading Asia News, says the Chinese are planning to replace the dollar with the yuan as global reserve currency (3/27)
    • Asia Times - good source for news and commentary on the yuan/dollar story
    • Celestine Bohlen at Bloomberg says the time has not yet come for the dollar's replacement as global currency (3/31)
    • This three part video interview of economist Anantha Nageswaran in the Financial Times argues that the dollar's days are numbered (3/31) Here's Nageswaran's Blog
    • "New York Stock Exchange Runs out of Gold Bars: What Happens Next? (Market Sceptic, 3/31/09)
    • Paul Krugman says that China’s call for a new “super-sovereign reserve currency” is a sign of troubles ahead for a global economic recovery (4/3)
    • John Tamny of RealClearMarkets argues for the universal benefit (including to the U.S.) of a new global reserve currency that he says will brings a stability the dollar can no longer provide (4/7)
    • "China Slows Purchases of U.S. and Other Bonds" (NYT 4/12)
    • Economist Andy Xie argues "If China loses faith the dollar will collapse" (FT 5/5)
    • Gwen Robinson of FT gives the views of investor Jim Rogers, Black Swan auther Nassim Taleb, and three other analysts on the possibility of a dollar collapse (ft.com/alphaville 5/12)
    • America’s triple A rating is at risk U.S. financial media ignored story that was front-aged in FT. The gist: "Prices have risen on credit default insurance on US government bonds, meaning it costs investors more to protect their investment in Treasury bonds against default than before the crisis hit." (FT 5/13)
    • Nouriel Roubini discusses the possibility of an "Almighty Reminbi" and says the US must invest "in our crumbling infrastructure, alternative and renewable resources and productive human capital — rather than in unnecessary housing and toxic financial innovation [in order to] "slow down the decline of the dollar, and sustain our influence in global affairs (NYT 5/14)
    • The Economist concedes that the world's new economic order "is more likely to be made in Beijing" than in the West, given the sway of creditor nations (5/14)
    • Investor Sahm Adrangi, in a thoughtful review of Richard Duncan's "The Dollar Crisis," predicts "that the dollar will collapse, and its ramifications could be as violent as when the credit markets cracked in July 2007." (Clusterstock via John Carney and Hunter at Distressed Debt Investing" 5/18)
    If this happens, how about the chinese word for harmony - tao or tiao - as the name for the world's new global currency?